Oil Rebounds but Weekly Losses Continue

Oil rebounded on Friday, but still notched its second straight weekly decline as the escalating trade war between the world’s two largest economies drove wild volatility.

West Texas Intermediate futures advanced 2.4% to settle at $61.50 a barrel after China raised its tariffs on all US goods to 125%, but said it will pay no attention to further hikes from Washington. Equities rebounded as a selloff in longer-term Treasuries abated, helping buoy the commodity later in the session.

The conflict between China and the US has triggered frantic selloffs in stocks, bonds and commodities on concerns the dispute will reduce global growth. The US Energy Information Administration has slashed its forecasts for crude demand this year by almost 500,000 barrels a day, and oil market gauges further along the futures curve are pointing to an oversupply.

Oil has retreated about 14% in April, also hurt by an OPEC+ decision to bring back output more quickly than expected. The US levies include a punitive 145% charge on imports from China, which has retaliated with its own tariffs as ties between the two superpowers come under immense strain.

US Energy Secretary Chris Wright said on Bloomberg Television on Friday that the market’s recent selloff is overblown, as the US will ultimately have a stronger economy under President Donald Trump. He added that he expects to see higher volumes of US crude and natural gas liquids produced under the current president.

Oil’s retreat has led to declines in associated products, with US gasoline futures dropping almost 3% this week.

“High-level economic uncertainty is challenging for a macro-sensitive commodity such as oil, and we expect prices will remain under pressure,” BMI, a unit of Fitch Solutions, said in a note. In addition, “we currently factor in a continued, gradual unwinding of the OPEC+ production cuts.”

Oil Prices:

  • WTI for May delivery climbed 2.4% to settle at $61.50 a barrel in New York.
  • Brent for June settlement rose 2.3% to settle at $64.76 a barrel.

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