J.P. Morgan Expects Demand Trends to Favor US Natgas Over Oil

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** Says expectations of record U.S. oil supply, OPEC+ barrels return in 2025, Non-OPEC 2025 supply growth and potential policy de-regulations due to Republicans gaining control of the presidency and both chambers of Congress, has softened near-term enthusiasm for the oil macro outlook

** Brokerage will “continue to favor natgas levered producers given the supply response to low gas prices, the imminent start-up of meaningful LNG feedgas flows, and a number of positive data center/AI data points”

** Upgrades  to “overweight”; downgrades Devon Energy, SM Energy to “neutral” from “overweight” and CNX Resources to “underweight” from “neutral”

Brokerage changes PT on the following firms:

Company New PT Old PT Upside/Downside to Stock’s Last Close
Civitas Resources $68 $66 40%
CNX Resources $37 $31 3% downside
ConocoPhillips $123 $120 19%
Coterra Energy Inc $31 $29 21%
Crescent Energy $16 $14 10%
$141 $132 9%
EQT Corp $50 $44 12%
SM Energy $53 $51 26%

 

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