Petronas Dividend for Malaysia Set to Sink as Oil Prices Decline

The contribution of national energy giant Petronas to Malaysia’s budget is expected to crash by 38% next year, to the lowest level since 2017, amid falling oil prices.

Petronas is set to pay to Malaysia $4.7 billion (20 billion Malaysian ringgit) in 2026, down from $7.6 billion (32 billion ringgit) it is contributing this year, the Finance Ministry said in its 2026 budget on Friday.     

The decline of the dividends from Petronas will be the result of expected lower Brent oil prices next year. According to Malaysia’s Finance Ministry, 

Brent Crude prices are set to average between $60 and $65 per barrel in 2026, down from about $70 per barrel average price estimated for this year. 

Last month, Petronas flagged challenging macro environment in its first-half earnings. The Malaysian national oil firm booked lower revenues and profits amid falling oil prices and a challenging macro and operational environment, which also led to a 3% decline in first-half oil and gas production.

Petronas reported a 24% decline in revenues and a 19% drop in profit after tax, due to divestments, unfavorable foreign exchange rates, and lower average realized prices from petroleum products, crude oil, and condensates following the downward trend in benchmark prices.

The national oil company’s average total daily production of 2.403 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd) in the first half of 2025 was 3.2% lower compared to the 2.482 million boepd for the same period in 2024, mainly due to lower gas production from domestic operations and lower liquid production from the international portfolio.

Petronas has been struggling to boost output in Malaysia, while the volatile and challenging macro environment in the first half of the year contributed to the lower earnings and deepened the crisis.

In June, the company announced it would reduce its total workforce by about 10%, “as it navigates a polycrisis driven by global pressures, coupled with heightened challenges to unlock the full potential of its oil and gas resources in Malaysia.” 

By Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com

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