Crude oil prices extended a climb that began on Monday, despite reports that oil flows via the Strait of Hormuz have improved considerably since the start of September.
At the time of writing, Brent crude was trading at $107.37 per barrel, and West Texas Intermediate was trading at $94.31 per barrel. The widening gap between the two has been driven by reports about a possible U.S. ban on diesel fuel exports.
Meanwhile, Kpler reported on Monday it had estimated daily oil flows out of Hormuz at 12.8 million barrels, which is a lot more than most expected. The estimate comes despite regular tanker tracking reports from Kpler showing that tanker traffic remains severely crippled. However, these reports do not account for tankers moving in so-called dark mode or, apparently, ship-to-ship transfers.
Saudi Arabia has taken to ship-to-ship transfers to move its crude out, after the Yemeni Houthis struck energy infrastructure including its East-West pipeline and the pot of Yanbu on the Red Sea. These workarounds have contributed to oil prices’ upward momentum, because they have pushed the cost of getting crude out of the Persian Gulf considerably.
“A clearer picture is emerging of higher oil export volumes leaving the Gulf, but much of that increase still relies on workarounds such as ship-to-ship transfers. Those methods are less efficient and more costly than normal operations, which is why crude prices remain elevated,” Tim Waterer from KCM Trade said, as quoted by Reuters.
Tanker rates are running at record highs as well, adding to the cost burden of exporting crude oil out of the Middle East, and tightening availability of the vessels, since ship-to-ship transfers require more of those. In additional challenges, maritime traffic is again being rerouted from the Red Sea to the Cape of Good Hope in southern Africa, making journeys longer, including tanker journeys.
By Irina Slav for Oilprice.com
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