EIA Lifts 2025 US Oil Output Forecast to a Record High as Supplies Swell

pumpjacks midland texas 1200x810

(Reuters) – U.S. oil production is expected to hit a larger record this year than previously expected, the Energy Information Administration said on Tuesday, as expectations mount of a global supply glut.

The agency raised its forecast for 2025 oil production by 20,000 to average 13.61 million barrels per day in 2025, the highest on record. However, the EIA lowered its forecast for total output in 2026 by 50,000 to 13.53 million bpd. The step up in this year’s U.S. production forecast adds to expectations that the oil market is heading for a supply overhang after the International Energy Agency said last month that the global oil market faces an even bigger surplus next year of as much as 4.09 million barrels per day.


Get the Latest US Focused Energy News Delivered to You! It’s FREE:


The Department of Energy’s statistical arm also raised its oil demand estimate by 100,000 bpd to 20.6 million bpd for 2025 and forecast that demand would be flat for 2026.

Prices of U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude will average $65.32 per barrel in 2025, up from its estimate last month of $65.15 per barrel, the EIA said. Global benchmark Brent prices will average $68.91 per barrel in 2025, higher than the $68.76 it forecast in November.

Reporting by Liz Hampton in Denver, Arathy Somasekhar in Houston, Scott DiSavino in New York; editing by Barbara Lewis

Share This:


More News Articles

 

  • Related Posts

    Iran Says Oman Deal is in ‘Final Stages’ But US Must Act to Open Hormuz 

    Iran says Oman deal is in ‘final stages’ but US must act to open Hormuz Iran said on Sunday that a deal with Oman defining new shipping lanes in the Strait…

    Oil Price Uncertainty as Negotiations Continue

    Summary Brent heads for weekly loss of more than 8% Cargo vessels could face fees under Iran draft plan Drone attacks reduce July CPC oil loadings by a fifth, sources…

    Have You Seen?

    Iran Says Oman Deal is in ‘Final Stages’ But US Must Act to Open Hormuz 

    • August 10, 2026
    Iran Says Oman Deal is in ‘Final Stages’ But US Must Act to Open Hormuz 

    India Crosses 300 GW Non-Fossil Fuel Capacity, Surpasses 60% Of 2030 Target

    • August 10, 2026
    India Crosses 300 GW Non-Fossil Fuel Capacity, Surpasses 60% Of 2030 Target

    CREDA Floats INR 100 Crore Tender For 1,000 Off-Grid Solar Power Plants In Chhattisgarh

    • August 10, 2026
    CREDA Floats INR 100 Crore Tender For 1,000 Off-Grid Solar Power Plants In Chhattisgarh

    Levanta Renewables Begins Construction of 166 MWp Solar-BESS Project in Philippines

    • August 10, 2026
    Levanta Renewables Begins Construction of 166 MWp Solar-BESS Project in Philippines

    JinkoSolar Unveils the “Sunny 365” Smart Solar-Storage System: An Integrated Solar-Storage AIDC Model

    • August 10, 2026
    JinkoSolar Unveils the “Sunny 365” Smart Solar-Storage System: An Integrated Solar-Storage AIDC Model

    First Solar Backs US Section 232 Measures on Polysilicon Imports, Citing Solar Supply Chain Security

    • August 10, 2026
    First Solar Backs US Section 232 Measures on Polysilicon Imports, Citing Solar Supply Chain Security

    Department Of Energy  Streamlines Rules For Zero-Export And Micro-Solar Systems In The Philippines

    • August 10, 2026
    Department Of Energy  Streamlines Rules For Zero-Export And Micro-Solar Systems In The Philippines

    LONGi Partners With FC Bayern Munich to Promote Solar Energy and Sustainability Through Global Collaboration

    • August 10, 2026
    LONGi Partners With FC Bayern Munich to Promote Solar Energy and Sustainability Through Global Collaboration

    Fujiyama Commissions 2 GW Power Electronics Manufacturing Facility in Madhya Pradesh

    • August 10, 2026
    Fujiyama Commissions 2 GW Power Electronics Manufacturing Facility in Madhya Pradesh

    Oil Price Uncertainty as Negotiations Continue

    • August 8, 2026
    Oil Price Uncertainty as Negotiations Continue