Summary
- Weekly price drop would be first since mid-December
- US, Iran in dispute over agenda for talks in Oman
- Geopolitical risk stems oil price decline
(Reuters) – Oil prices held steady on Friday as investors awaited news from high-stakes talks between the United States and Iran that are taking place in Oman amid fears of another supply-disrupting Middle East conflict.
Brent crude futures fell 5 cents, or 0.1%, to $67.50 a barrel by 1211 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was down 11 cents, or 0.2%, at $63.18 a barrel.
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Brent was set to end the week 4.6% down. WTI was on track to end the week 3.2% lower.
“Investors are watching the U.S.-Iran talks, and their sentiment is shaped by the outcome,” said Tamas Varga, an oil analyst at brokerage PVM.
Lack of consensus on the agenda for the meeting between Iran and the United States has kept investors anxious about geopolitical risk.
Iran wants to stick to nuclear issues, while the U.S. wants to discuss Iran’s ballistic missiles and support for armed groups in the region.
Any escalation of tension between the two nations could disrupt oil flows, since about a fifth of the world’s total consumption passes through the Strait of Hormuz between Oman and Iran.
Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Iraq export most of their crude via the strait, as does fellow OPEC member Iran.
If the U.S.-Iran talks ease the prospect of conflict in the region, oil prices could decline further.
“We think that geopolitical fears will give way to weak fundamentals,” Capital Economics analysts said in a note, pointing to a recovery in Kazakhstan’s oil output that will help push prices lower, towards $50 a barrel, by the end of 2026.
On a weekly basis, prices were weighed down by a broader selloff in markets and by persisting expectations of an oversupply of oil, analysts said.
Saudi Arabia cut the official selling price of its Arab Light crude to Asia for March to around a five-year low on Thursday, marking the fourth straight month of price cuts.
“The underlying fundamental backdrop is not really encouraging, it implies an oversupplied market,” said PVM’s Varga.
Reporting by Anna Hirtenstein in London. Additional reporting by Florence Tan and Sudarshan Varadhan in Singapore; Editing by Sonali Paul, Clarence Fernandez and Joe Bavier
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