Odds-On for USA to Strike Iran Before June

Prediction markets now put the probability of the U.S. striking Iran before June this year at 71 percent. That’s what Erik Meyersson, Chief EM Strategist at Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (SEB),…

Citi Downplays Risk of a Major Iran Supply Shock

Citi commodity analysts have downplayed the risk of a major oil supply disruption from the latest U.S. escalation against Iran, predicting limited military action against the country from the U.S.…

Turkey’s Biggest Refinery Fire Jolts Tight Refining Market

Oil markets got a jolt this week after an explosion and fire tore through part of Türkiye’s largest refinery, the Tupras Izmit complex, forcing evacuations and an emergency response. The…

Washington Probes Who’s Cashing In on Venezuela’s Oil Reset

Washington is starting to ask the quiet part out loud: who, exactly, is making money off Venezuela’s oil? This week, U.S. Representative Robert Garcia, the top Democrat on a House…

Zelenskiy Invites Russia to Energy Strikes Truce

Ukraine is ready to halt strikes on energy infrastructure if Russia agrees to abide by a US proposal for a weeklong truce, President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said. “If Russia does not…

Gold Briefly Jumps Toward $5,600 as Iran Tensions Flare

Gold prices surged sharply on Thursday morning as energy markets jolted higher following fresh Iran-related rhetoric from U.S. President Donald Trump, briefly sending oil prices up by as much as…